Day 1 of 202June 27th, 2026
0 alerts fired · 0 SMS sent
Basin risk — live during replay
Why this score — Lake Victoria Basin
Same scoring rule as production. Every point is attributable.
- 24-hour rainfall6.6 mm in the last 24h vs threshold 55 mm (12% of threshold)+6
- 7-day rainfall57.0 mm over the last 7 days vs threshold 180 mm (32% of threshold)+16
Total risk score22
Alerts fired
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Citizen SMS log (simulated)
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Replay runs entirely in the browser against seeded rainfall history and writes nothing to the database — it re-computes the production scoring rule day by day. Dam status shifts to overflowing for the Seven Forks cascade partway through, exactly as the compounding rule expects.